Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000122 0.000135 0.000149 0.000166 0.000184 0.000203 0.000226
2025-11-23 0.000102 0.000120 0.000141 0.000166 0.000195 0.000229 0.000271
2025-11-30 0.000089 0.000110 0.000134 0.000166 0.000206 0.000254 0.000318
2025-12-07 0.000077 0.000100 0.000127 0.000165 0.000214 0.000276 0.000361
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000094 0.000124 0.000167 0.000226 0.000304 0.000416
2025-12-21 0.000063 0.000088 0.000121 0.000168 0.000236 0.000329 0.000469
2025-12-28 0.000057 0.000082 0.000116 0.000167 0.000243 0.000350 0.000518
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000078 0.000114 0.000170 0.000254 0.000379 0.000580
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000074 0.000111 0.000170 0.000263 0.000404 0.000638
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000070 0.000108 0.000170 0.000269 0.000426 0.000693
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000066 0.000105 0.000169 0.000275 0.000446 0.000748
2026-02-01 0.000039 0.000064 0.000102 0.000169 0.000282 0.000470 0.000810
2026-02-08 0.000036 0.000060 0.000099 0.000167 0.000287 0.000490 0.000869
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000057 0.000096 0.000167 0.000293 0.000513 0.000936
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000055 0.000094 0.000167 0.000301 0.000540 0.001011
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000052 0.000091 0.000166 0.000305 0.000560 0.001076
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000051 0.000091 0.000168 0.000316 0.000595 0.001174
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000049 0.000089 0.000169 0.000325 0.000625 0.001263
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000047 0.000087 0.000168 0.000330 0.000648 0.001341
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000046 0.000087 0.000170 0.000342 0.000686 0.001454
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000171 0.000349 0.000716 0.001554
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000043 0.000083 0.000170 0.000355 0.000743 0.001648
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000041 0.000082 0.000169 0.000360 0.000767 0.001739